Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.062478 0.073902 0.086705 0.102100 0.120094 0.140446 0.165194
2025-05-11 0.045286 0.060135 0.078661 0.103401 0.135498 0.175655 0.229626
2025-05-18 0.036195 0.052587 0.074806 0.106966 0.152141 0.213133 0.301493
2025-05-25 0.028210 0.044224 0.067501 0.103541 0.157623 0.235383 0.355196
2025-06-01 0.023366 0.039132 0.063477 0.103423 0.166856 0.263081 0.419300
2025-06-08 0.019458 0.034601 0.059297 0.101991 0.173311 0.286794 0.479778
2025-06-15 0.017126 0.032149 0.057884 0.104508 0.185998 0.321287 0.561010
2025-06-22 0.014652 0.028958 0.054635 0.103261 0.191944 0.345153 0.627259
2025-06-29 0.012447 0.025838 0.050963 0.100581 0.194784 0.363737 0.686245
2025-07-06 0.010561 0.022979 0.047290 0.097258 0.195814 0.378947 0.740612
2025-07-13 0.009580 0.021765 0.046559 0.099411 0.207328 0.414386 0.836040
2025-07-20 0.008594 0.020359 0.045216 0.100101 0.215969 0.445229 0.926022
2025-07-27 0.007683 0.018987 0.043788 0.100515 0.224336 0.476966 1.022487
2025-08-03 0.006967 0.017937 0.042901 0.101976 0.235121 0.514879 1.136104
2025-08-10 0.006484 0.017356 0.042961 0.105532 0.250866 0.564769 1.280281
2025-08-17 0.005618 0.015661 0.040187 0.102159 0.250687 0.580800 1.353925
2025-08-24 0.005058 0.014649 0.038878 0.102044 0.257923 0.613714 1.468178
2025-08-31 0.004500 0.013539 0.037148 0.100631 0.261867 0.639626 1.569480
2025-09-07 0.004195 0.013070 0.036978 0.103116 0.275584 0.689424 1.731251
2025-09-14 0.003760 0.012145 0.035464 0.101884 0.279836 0.717395 1.844518
2025-09-21 0.003321 0.011126 0.033531 0.099239 0.280091 0.735724 1.936467
2025-09-28 0.002914 0.010123 0.031481 0.095958 0.278221 0.748556 2.016202
2025-10-05 0.002732 0.009801 0.031347 0.098083 0.291250 0.800420 2.200240